Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 68%
Forecasters
39
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleApr 22, 23, 4:22 AM UTCJan 1, 30, 7:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiThe FDA will approve a drug for the treatment of senescence (aging) before the end of the decade (before 2030)
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KalshiRules
Capabilities: take history, create treatment plan, prescribe medications, order tests, etc. all without human intervention or approval.
- Covers >50% of typical primary care volume.
