Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 76.1%
Forecasters
22
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 9 hours ago
StaleApr 27, 25, 1:34 PM UTCJan 19, 29, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
A state-sanctioned death squad constitutes an organized entity – comprising state agents (including military, police, intelligence personnel, and their proxies), private military or security contractors acting under state direction or control, or civilian groups operating with the demonstrable explicit or implicit sanction of government authorities – that systematically perpetrates extrajudicial killings, enforced disappearances, or other acts resulting in the deprivation of the right to life within the state’s territory or against individuals under its effective control, outside the framework of due process and legal accountability.
- Core Criteria:
- State Nexus and Control: The entity is demonstrably composed of state agents or non-state actors operating under the command, control, or effective direction of state authorities.
- This includes instances where the state provides:
- Direct Operational Support: Orders, training, deployment, or participation in operations.
- Material and Logistical Support: Provision of weapons, equipment, transportation, funding, or facilities.
