Will the Supreme Court rule on a case relating to the copyright status of AI model outputs before 2028?
US PoliticsOne-OffAI1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 58.8%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 17 hours ago
StaleMar 25, 25, 3:38 PM UTCDec 31, 27, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
Will resolve “yes” if the Supreme Court accepts and issues an opinion on the merits of a case presenting a question relating to the copyright status of text, images, video, etc. created by AI models before 2028 .
- Will resolve “no” otherwise.
- As what “relates to” this question might be subjective in some cases, I won’t bet in this market.
- I will answer clarifying questions as needed.
- Update 2026-03-09 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): The Court declining to hear a case (e.g., denying certiorari) does not count.
- Resolution requires the Court to issue an opinion on the merits.
