Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 9:22 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 92%
Forecasters
11
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleNov 7, 25, 3:19 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Who during, the next Congress, will call on the next Senate to eliminate or limit the filibuster? [Add Answers]
Manifold MarketsWill the Senate eliminate the legislative filibuster in 2026?
PredictItBalance of Power: 2026 Midterms
PolymarketTexas Senate winner?
Kalshi2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiRules
Will the U.S. Senate eliminate or reduce the 60-vote cloture threshold for general legislation by December 31, 2026?
- This market resolves YES if:
- - The Senate votes to reduce the cloture threshold for general legislation from 60 votes to any lower number
- - The Senate eliminates the legislative filibuster entirely
- - The Senate creates carve-outs that allow specific types of non-budget legislation to pass with fewer than 60 votes
- - The Senate establishes new precedent through parliamentary rulings that effectively achieves any of the above (e.g., through the "nuclear option" or sustaining a point of order)