Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory??

Manifold Markets prices No at 76.7% as of October 6, 2026.

When does Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory? resolve?

Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2050.

How is Will the next pandemic originate in a laboratory? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Consensus of reliable sources will be used to check if an outbreak qualifies as a pandemic.

Use this market in code or an AI agent

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POLYMARKET

New pandemic in 2026?

• No94.1%
• Yes5.9%

Total Vol

$1.2M

24h Vol

$40.5K

KALSHI

Pandemic in 2026?

• No92%
• Yes+2.0pt8%

Total Vol

$847.8K

24h Vol

$38.8K

POLYMARKET

Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?

• Nigeria-0.5pt48%
• Republic of the Congo35%
• South Sudan35%

+10 more outcomes

Total Vol

POLYMARKET

Plague pandemic in 2026?

• No95%
• Yes5%

Total Vol

$22.2K

24h Vol

$22.2K

KALSHI

Which countries will report an Ebola case in 2026?

• Kenya+91.0pt99%
• Central African Republic-3.0pt36%
• South Sudan32%

+13 more outcomes

Total Vol

$399.7K

POLYMARKET

Another pneumonic plague case in Russia by which date?

• 31,+1.5pt18%
• 15,+0.5pt10%

Total Vol

$29.1K

24h Vol

$16.2K

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