Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 96.4%
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25
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binary
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Updated 23 minutes ago
Feb 7, 23, 7:18 PM UTCJan 1, 32, 8:00 AM UTC
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Manifold MarketsRules
"Cure" here means any treatment that can change someone's personality such that they're no longer diagnosed as autistic, or can prevent a newborn from being diagnosed.
- (Must be an actual change to the person, not a change to the diagnosis criteiria.)
- Doesn't need to be widely available or approved by any regulatory agency, just needs to exist and be shown to work without any significant doubt on the matter.
- An active brain device would count.
- Embryo selection would not count, since that's just "choosing a different person".
