Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 21, 2026, 12:15 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecast
No 74%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated yesterday
StaleSep 20, 25, 12:04 AM UTCFeb 1, 27, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.
- Posts are reviewable once they have been up for at least 12 months, and the 2025 Review resolves in February 2027.
- This market will resolve to 100% if the post Safety researchers should take a public stance is one of the top fifty posts of the 2025 Review, and 0% otherwise.
- The market was initialized to 14%.
