Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Aug 16, 2025, 6:19 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Current community forecastYes 99.9%
Forecasters
325
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 28 days ago
StaleFeb 12, 25, 8:27 PMAug 16, 25, 6:19 AM
Probability Timeline
Yes99.9%
No0.09999999999999432%
99.9%
0.1%
Rules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
Russia / Ukraine
POLYMARKETNATO x Russia military clash by which date?
- December 31-14.0pt25%
- October 31-21.0pt13%
- August 31-18.6pt5%
+3 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.8M
- 24h Vol
- $1.3M
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+1.0pt71%
- New People (NL)-0.1pt22%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.1pt6%
POLYMARKETPutin out as President of Russia by which date?
- June 30, 202713%
- December8%
- September 30,2%
+2 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $21.4M
- 24h Vol
POLYMARKETWill Russia capture all of Kostyantynivka by which date?
- December 31+3.5pt53%
- October 31-0.5pt21%
- September 30+0.5pt9%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETNATO downs another Russian drone by which date?
- August 31+1.3pt100%
- July 31-1.4pt0%
- Total Vol
- $217.8K
- 24h Vol
- $66.1K
POLYMARKETRussia x Ukraine Ceasefire by which date?
- December 3118%
- October 318%
- May 310%
+1 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.1M
- 24h Vol
- Will Russia capture all of Drobysheve by which date?
- Zelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
- Russia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
- Where will Trump and Putin meet next in 2026?
- Will Russia capture Kupiansk by which date?
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- Will Ukraine re-enter Rodynske by which date?
- Russia x Ukraine ceasefire agreement by which date?
- Russia Elections: Yabloko Clears Duma Threshold?
- Where will Zelenskyy and Putin meet next before 2027?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Putin visit the USA in 2025?
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 100% as of July 24, 2026.
- When does Will Putin visit the USA in 2025 resolve?
- Will Putin visit the USA in 2025 is scheduled to resolve on August 16, 2025.