Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes
Resolved: Aug 16, 2025, 6:19 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 6:05 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-2
Probability Timeline
Yes99.9%
No0.09999999999999432%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
PolymarketZelenskyy out as Ukraine president by end of 2026?
PolymarketWhen will Ukraine hold a presidential election?
KalshiWill Trump 2.0 be the end of Democracy as we know it?
Manifold MarketsIf Trump is elected, will there be a ceasefire in Ukraine before the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsUkraine peace referendum scheduled by which date?
PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.