Will Nick Bostrom (philosopher, existential risk researcher) be charged with any felony crime before 2030?
Crime & JusticeOne-Off3yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 6:50 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
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KalshiRules
Resolves "Yes" if there is credible reporting, or legal documents, showing that Nick Bostrom (philosopher at the University of Oxford, existential risk researcher) has been criminally charged with any felony crime.
- Resolves "No" if this does not happen by Jan 1st, 2030.
- Part of a large question series.
- Question is global -- charges in any country count.
- Charges count even if they do not lead to a conviction, were settled before a conviction, or if he was found not guilty.
- Minor misdemeanors do not count, only more serious (i.e. "felony") charges.