Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030?
One-OffHealth & Medicine3y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Sep 8, 2026, 11:54 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecast
No 89.7%
Forecasters
23
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 8 hours ago
StaleJan 10, 24, 10:14 PM UTCJan 1, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Based on this post
- https://forum.effectivealtruism.org/posts/JWuPdMaPiNy7AD3AX/potentially-actionable-opportunity-eliminating-the-new-world
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 90% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030? resolve?
- Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2030.
- How is Will New World screwworm (maggots that eat animals alive) be effectively eradicated from the wild by 2030? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Based on this post