What are the current odds for Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI??

Manifold Markets prices No at 80% as of October 6, 2026.

When does Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI? resolve?

Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI? is scheduled to resolve on August 28, 2042.

How is Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if monkey beats minecraft first (according criteria outline here)

Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?

One-OffAI Tech15y

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 80%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 1 hour ago

Lagging

Jul 28, 23, 7:22 AM UTCAug 28, 42, 9:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

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Rules

Resolves YES if monkey beats minecraft first (according criteria outline here)

Resolves NO if we make AGI first

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Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?

Will monkey beat Minecraft before we get AGI?

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