What are the current odds for Will monkey beat Minecraft by 2030??

Manifold Markets prices No at 90.3% as of October 27, 2026.

When does Will monkey beat Minecraft by 2030? resolve?

Will monkey beat Minecraft by 2030? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2029.

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: context: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKpFoYqN9-0

Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibrated

Current community forecast

No 90.3%

Forecasters

Question type

binary

Methodology

Play-money forecasting platform

Source type

Forecast

Market data

Updated 21 hours ago

Stale

Jul 28, 23, 6:53 AM UTCDec 31, 29, 10:59 PM UTC

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Rules

context: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=UKpFoYqN9-0

[link preview]Resolves YES if any monkey can go from a fresh world to beat ender dragon with no human help playing the game.
Humans are allowed to help with technical problems etc. but not with any gameplay.
However the monke is allowed to use a an interface that is more compatible with monke.