Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast2026-2027 79.2%Leader of 9 outcomes
Forecasters
31
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
+0.2 pts
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleMay 9, 22, 3:58 PM UTCJan 1, 32, 5:00 AM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiRules
I won't accept any algorithm that is substantially tuned for Minecraft specifically.
- If the same algorithm couldn't be adapted to other environments with similar results, it doesn't count.