Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedData quality warningStale data
Data as of Jul 14, 2026, 3:30 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-3
Current community forecastYes 96.3%
Forecasters
24
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 14 days ago
StaleNov 6, 25, 10:31 PMDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
Yes96%
Compare venues· Yes
Ranked by market quality, then liquidity and 24h volume| Venue | Quality | Probability | vs reference | 24h Vol | Liq | Freshness | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketBest overall93% match · auto | Low | 90% | — | $0 | $5.5K | 22 minutes ago | Open → |
| Manifold MarketsThis page | — | 96% | — | — | — | 14 days ago |
Also available on Polymarket
Will Mamdani freeze NYC rents before 2027?
0.1 pts5mo
90%
10%
49 • Low qualityModerate spreadMedium liquidityNear resolution
Total Vol$283.8K
24h Vol$0
POLYMARKETRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Probabilities may differ due to different market structures, fees, and participant pools.
Volume trend
$50Jul 123d of dataJul 14
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Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.