Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78%
Forecasters
45
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingJun 8, 25, 10:33 PM UTCJul 10, 32, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Trump dies before big Charles.
- Conversely, it will resolve to "No" if King Charles III passes away before Donald Trump.
- The determination will be based on official announcements from the respective governments or authoritative news sources confirming the dates of death for both individuals.
- King Charles III: Born on November 14, 1948, King Charles III is currently 76 years old.
- In February 2024, he was diagnosed with an unspecified form of cancer following treatment for an enlarged prostate.
