Manifold MarketsClosedNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedThis market resolved: Yes (65.6%)
Resolved: Sep 30, 2026, 10:33 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 2, 2026, 12:34 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes65.6%
No34.400000000000006%
Won
Lost
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Manifold MarketsRules
I have historically been underweight, but have been trying to gain weight recently.
- At the time of creating this market, I weigh 142.4 lbs.
- On the morning of September 30, I will weigh myself.
- If the result is >150 lbs, resolves YES, and if <=150 lbs, resolves NO.
- I will post daily updates.