Will I consider the "Big 3" AI companies to be different on 12/31?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will I consider the "Big 3" AI companies to be different on 12/31??

Manifold Markets prices No at 85.2% as of October 20, 2026.

When does Will I consider the "Big 3" AI companies to be different on 12/31? resolve?

Will I consider the "Big 3" AI companies to be different on 12/31? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2026.

How is Will I consider the "Big 3" AI companies to be different on 12/31? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Currently I consider them to be OpenAI, Google DeepMind, and Anthropic.

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KALSHI

DeepSeek market share this week

• Above 22.7%97.5%
• Above 23.8%95.5%
• Above 24.6%88.5%

+6 more outcomes

Total Vol

$184.6K

24h Vol

$183.2K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+4.7pt52.2%
• Gemini-0.6pt37.5%
• ChatGPT-1.5pt

POLYMARKET

Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?

• December 31-0.7pt97%
• October 31-1.6pt81%
• October 24+1.5pt61%

+11 more outcomes

KALSHI

Best AI this week

• Gemini91%
• Claude9%
• MUSE1.5%

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T+2.0pt88%
• ↑$1.75T+0.5pt70%
• ↑$2.0T+2.5pt60%

+10 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+2.1pt74%
• Anthropic-1.5pt24%
• Meta+0.3pt1%

+18 more outcomes

• Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• OpenAI market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Anthropic share of spend on Oct 20, 2026 (Vercel)
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
• Which company has best AI model end of 2026?
• Which AI company will have the best coding model at the end of 2026?
• Anthropic market share this week
• Anthropic announces bankruptcy by which date?
• Best AI in Oct 2026?