Will European investors face restrictions on their US stock holdings due to political risks before 2029?
One-OffUS PoliticsEquities2y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 87.5%
Forecasters
6
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 25, 8:54 AM UTCDec 31, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
Rules
This market assesses whether European investors will face significant governmental restrictions on their US stock holdings due to political tensions during the 2nd trump presidency.
- Specifically, this market resolves YES if:
- The US government broadly freezes or seizes US stock assets held by European investors OR
- European investors become broadly unable to trade their US stocks due to US government intervention
- This market does NOT cover:
- Targeted restrictions on a small number of specific individuals (e.g., those on sanctions lists)
