Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 3:24 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 85.6%
Forecasters
16
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMar 19, 24, 12:52 AM UTCJan 2, 28, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Chuck Schumer publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Donald Trump publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Joe Biden publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Xi Jinping publicly call for a global halt in AI progress before 2028?
Manifold MarketsEmmanuel Macron to finish his presidential term in France?
FutuurWill Trump publicly call for a global AI slowdown?
KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
