Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 82.1%
Forecasters
12
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJun 27, 26, 10:57 AM UTCDec 31, 99, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk Net Worth on September 30?
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if at any point, Elon Musk's net worth is officially recorded at $1.5 trillion USD or higher by either of the following trackers:
- Forbes Real-Time Billionaires
- Bloomberg Billionaires Index
- If neither tracker reports Musk's net worth reaching or exceeding $1.5 trillion by Elon Musk's death, this market will resolve to NO.
- If one of the tracking indexes is permanently discontinued or becomes inaccessible, the remaining index will serve as the sole source of truth.
Open markets
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion??
- Manifold Markets prices Yes at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? resolve?
- Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2099.
- How is Will Elon Musk ever reach a net worth of 1.5 trillion? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolution criteria