Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 81.9%
Forecasters
38
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleJan 14, 23, 1:36 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 8:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will California decriminalize and/or legalize MDMA before 2027?
Manifold MarketsColorado bill to decriminalize sex work becomes law in 2026?
PolymarketTrump out as President before 2027?
PolymarketMaduro Prison Time?
PolymarketWho will be arrested in 2026?
KalshiWho will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
KalshiRules
Resolves YES if California decriminalizes or fully legalizes the possession and personal use of LSD.
- If a law is passed before 2027 that doesn't go into effect until 2027 or later, this market will still resolve YES.
Open markets
Crime & JusticePOLYMARKETTyler Robinson convicted of homicide?
- No+16.0pt72.3%
- Yes-16.0pt27.7%
- Total Vol
- $409.9K
- 24h Vol
- $10.3K
POLYMARKETTrump out as President before 2027?
- No94.1%
- Yes5.9%
- Total Vol
- $11.4M
- 24h Vol
- $7.9K
POLYMARKETIran charges Hormuz fees by which date?
- December 31+0.5pt28%
- October 31+1.0pt14%
- September 30-1.0pt6%
+3 more outcomes
POLYMARKETLindsay Clancy convicted of murder by which date?
- 2027-1.0pt21%
- 2026+0.1pt5%
- Total Vol
- $580.3K
- 24h Vol
- $5K
POLYMARKETMaduro Prison Time?
- No prison time+1.0pt42.6%
- 60++2.0pt38.6%
- 20–40+2.1pt10.9%
+2 more outcomes
POLYMARKETAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
- December 31-8.0pt13%
- July 31-0.1pt0%
- August 31-0.6pt0%
- Who will be arrested in 2026?
- Who will be named in Epstein files released in 2026?
- James Comey charges dropped by December 31?
- Nothing Ever Happens: 2026
- Tom Lee charged by December 31?
- Hasan Piker arrested in 2026?
- Who will be charged with a federal crime in 2026?
- Will Yale settle with DOJ over Law School admissions?
- Any Brazil STF Justice removed by impeachment before 2027?
- Epstein confirmed to be Satoshi by December 31?
- Anthony Fauci charged by December 31?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 82% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027? resolve?
- Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.
- How is Will California decriminalize LSD before 2027? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves YES if California decriminalizes or fully legalizes the possession and personal use of LSD.