Will Brazilian Congress pass any income tax reform until the end of 2027?
InflationOne-OffPoliticsLatin America1y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 90%
Forecasters
9
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 35 minutes ago
Jul 29, 23, 11:25 AM UTCJan 1, 28, 2:59 AM UTC
Trends
Rules
Resolves as YES if both the Brazilian Chamber of Deputies and the Senate pass any single bill that either: 1) changes personal income tax rate bands (creates new ones, or alters or removes existing bands); OR 2) alters current exemptions (creating or removing exemptions or imposing new limits), with an impact estimated to at least 20% or more of the values of the existing exemptions in the year before the reform is approved.
- Mere corrections of the income tax table by the inflation do not count, if applied equally to all the existing tax bands; nor do individual new tax exemptions that do not reach the minimum impact stated.
