Will Bolivia go through two or more years of negative economic growth by EOY 2030?
InflationOne-OffEconomyLatin America4y
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 78.5%
Forecasters
2
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMay 30, 25, 5:09 PM UTCDec 31, 30, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Macro-Sensitive Assets
Rules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if Bolivia experiences two or more calendar years of negative real GDP growth (i.e., economic contraction) between January 1, 2025, and December 31, 2030.
- The determination will be based on official annual GDP growth data published by the Instituto Nacional de Estadística de Bolivia (INE) or, if unavailable, reputable international organizations such as the International Monetary Fund (IMF) or the World Bank.
- If the data indicates that Bolivia's real GDP growth was negative for two or more years within the specified period, the market will resolve to "Yes"; otherwise, it will resolve to "No".
