Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026?
One-OffRegulationTechUS Politics3mo
Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecast
No 96.2%
Forecasters
15
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleJan 2, 25, 3:42 AM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Resolution criteria are not yet available for this market. Refresh cycles will populate this section when source rules are stored.
Open markets
RegulationPOLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+3.0pt86.1%
- Yes-3.0pt13.9%
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- $14.5M
- 24h Vol
- $253.8K
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- December 15,-1.0pt86%
- November 30,-0.5pt85%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWill the Clarity Act become law?
- Before Jul 1, 2027-11.0pt37%
- Before Jan 1, 2028-19.0pt35%
- Before Oct 1, 2027-20.0pt35%
+7 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Tesla and SpaceX merge?
- Before 2028+2.0pt67%
- Before May 1, 2027-1.0pt49%
- Before Apr 1, 2027-7.0pt43%
+8 more outcomes
KALSHIWhen will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Before Apr 1, 2027+5.0pt97%
- Before Jan 1, 2027+1.0pt96%
- Before Mar 1, 2027-1.0pt94%
+9 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWhat will OpenAI's IPO valuation be?
- $1.25T–$1.5T-0.1pt19.8%
- $1.75T–$2.0T18.9%
- $1.5T–$1.75T17.9%
+5 more outcomes
- Total Vol
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- Discord IPO Closing Market Cap
- When will the Senate vote on the Clarity Act?
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- Space Exploration Technologies' Market Cap end of September 2026?
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 96% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026? resolve?
- Will any state in the USA ban self driving cars by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.