Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

One-OffRegulation AI US Politics5mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Yes 56%

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$207.1

Liquidity

$2.8K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

50.0% / 55.0%

Spread

10.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jul 14, 26, 5:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes56%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
The following do NOT constitute enactment:
Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

Volume trend

$207

Jul 158d of dataJul 22

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Rules

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
The following do NOT constitute enactment:
Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

Will another state enact a data center moratorium in 2026?

One-OffRegulation AI US Politics5mo

KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibrated

Current implied probability

Yes 56%

Market quality

44 / 100

Low quality

24h Volume

$207.1

Liquidity

$2.8K

Medium liquidity

Bid / Ask

50.0% / 55.0%

Spread

10.0%

Wide spread

Market data

Updated 9 minutes ago

Jul 14, 26, 5:00 PMJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM

Trends

Outcome24hChance

Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice

Selected outcome

Yes56%

Stake (USDT)

Rules

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
The following do NOT constitute enactment:
Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.

Volume trend

$207

Jul 158d of dataJul 22

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$4.4K

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Anthropic IPO by __?

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EthereumETH$1,936.30+1.44%

SolanaSOL$78.49+0.76%

DogecoinDOGE$0.0737+1.98%

XRPXRP$1.14+2.77%

BNBBNB$574.16+0.32%

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White House agrees to ethics provisions in market structure billCointelegraph

Russia’s parliament passes crypto market law with $3,800 annual cap for retail investorsCoindesk

Rules

If a statewide moratorium, pause, or ban on new data center construction or permitting has become law in any U.S. state except New York before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.

Enactment requires completion of all constitutional and legal requirements for the legislation to become binding law.
Standard legislation requiring executive approval: final passage by all required legislative bodies, executive signature OR becoming law despite executive inaction OR successful veto override, and satisfaction of any required waiting periods Legislation not requiring executive approval: final passage and completion of required waiting periods Constitutional amendments: passage with required supermajorities and completion of ratification processes Executive orders: official signature, publication in official government records, and legal effectiveness
The following do NOT constitute enactment:
Legislative passage without completed executive action Passage by only some required bodies Provisional passage Non-binding resolutions Draft orders
Enactment occurs when all requirements are completed, regardless of pending judicial challenges.