KalshiClosedCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: At least 2 (67%)
Resolved: Aug 28, 2026, 4:42 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Probability Timeline
At least 391%
At least 267%
At least 541%
At least 467%
At least 624%
At least 78%
At least 85%
At least 3Lost
At least 2Won
At least 4Lost
At least 5Lost
At least 6Lost
At least 7Lost
At least 8Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Advanced Micro Devices (AMD) Q3 Data Center revenue be above __?
PolymarketUS private data center construction spending in September
KalshiWill NVIDIA Corporation report that “Inference” revenue exceeded “Training” revenue within its Data Center segment for any fiscal quarter ending in calendar year 2026?
ForecastExWill Intel (INTC) Q3 Data Center & AI revenue be above __?
PolymarketWill NVIDIA (NVDA) Q3 Data Center Revenue be above __?
PolymarketBefore when will the Netherlands adopt capital gains tax on realized returns?
Manifold MarketsRules
Archived event-level rules. The exact terms for each outcome are no longer available.
If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is the named outcome in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:State Governments
- A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly targets data centers and prohibits or suspends a material governmental approval, permitting, interconnection, construction, expansion, or operation pathway for new or expanded data centers.
- The measure may apply only to a defined class of data centers, including facilities above a specified power, water-use, computing-capacity, or size threshold, and may grandfather existing facilities or applications.
- It need not use the word “moratorium,” and a permanent prohibition also qualifies.
- A qualifying state remains counted if the measure subsequently expires, is repealed, rescinded, superseded, or enjoined, provided it became legally operative.
- Local measures, project-specific holds, pending legislation, studies, reporting requirements, tax-incentive changes, and regulatory requirements that do not suspend development do not qualify.