KalshiCheck availabilityKYC required2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilityAt least 3 28%Leader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$1.2K
Liquidity
$1.2K
Low liquidityBid / Ask
26.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.7%
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 14 minutes ago
Jul 21, 26, 7:30 PMJan 1, 27, 2:59 PM
Trends
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
At least 328%
Volume trend
$1.2kJul 212d of dataJul 22
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If the number of U.S. states that formally adopt a binding state-level moratorium on data-center development is at least 2 in 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- A state qualifies upon final adoption of a binding law, executive order, regulation, or agency order that expressly targets data centers and prohibits or suspends a material governmental approval, permitting, interconnection, construction, expansion, or operation pathway for new or expanded data centers.
- The measure may apply only to a defined class of data centers, including facilities above a specified power, water-use, computing-capacity, or size threshold, and may grandfather existing facilities or applications.
- It need not use the word “moratorium,” and a permanent prohibition also qualifies.
- A qualifying state remains counted if the measure subsequently expires, is repealed, rescinded, superseded, or enjoined, provided it became legally operative.
- Local measures, project-specific holds, pending legislation, studies, reporting requirements, tax-incentive changes, and regulatory requirements that do not suspend development do not qualify.