KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above $90.0B 51%Market line of 8 lines
Above $90.0B 51%Market quality
52 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$2.1K
Open interest
$1.7K
Low open interestSpread
4.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 5 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 5:00 PM UTCNov 2, 26, 2:59 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $90.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:U.S. Census Bureau
- This market will resolve based on the first published estimate of U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 reported by the U.S. Census Bureau in its Value of Private Construction Put in Place – Seasonally Adjusted Annual Rate data. The relevant figure is found under: Private → Nonresidential → Office → Data center The Census Bureau reports this figure in millions of dollars at a seasonally adjusted annual rate (SAAR). For example, $70 billion corresponds to $70,000 million. The first figure published for the relevant month will be used, including if Census identifies that figure as preliminary. Subsequent revisions, corrections, or updated estimates will not affect the market’s resolution.
Rules for each outcome
- Above $77.5B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $77.5B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $80.0B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $80.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $82.5B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $82.5B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $85.0B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $85.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $87.5B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $87.5B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $90.0B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $90.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $92.5B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $92.5B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $95.0B
- If the U.S. Census Bureau reports that U.S. private data center construction spending for September 2026 is above $95.0B (billion) at a seasonally adjusted annual rate, then the market resolves to Yes.