PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYC2% feeVerified resolution dataRoughly calibratedCurrent implied probabilitySeptember 30 85%+6.0ptLeader of 4 outcomes
Market quality
45 / 100
Low quality24h Volume
$4K
Liquidity
$5.9K
Medium liquidityBid / Ask
9.0% / 18.0%
Spread
9.0 pt
Wide spread7d Change
-5.5 pts
Market data
Updated 10 minutes ago
Jun 11, 26, 1:52 PMAug 31, 26, 12:00 AM
Trends
0%
Paper funds only — no real moneyNot financial advice
Selected outcome
September 3085%
Rules
This market will resolve to “Yes” if Cloudflare experiences any incident classified as Critical (red) as of the time it is marked as “Resolved” by the listed date (ET).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to “No”.
- Classifications of an incident while it is ongoing will have no bearing on the resolution of this market.
- Only classifications of events that are resolved will be considered.
- Qualifying incidents include outages and other issues classified as critical when they are resolved, during this market's above-specified timeframe.
- An incident resolved outside this market’s timeframe will only qualify if ongoing at this market’s resolution time, in which case the market will remain open until that incident is marked as “Resolved,” and resolution will be based on the first impact classification thereafter, regardless of subsequent revisions or corrections.