PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
180-199 23.6%+1.5ptLeader of 26 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
180-199 23.6%+1.5ptMarket quality
86 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$70.7K
Liquidity
$345K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 13 minutes ago
Sep 29, 26, 4:00 AM UTCOct 9, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets September 25 - October 2, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 29 - October 6, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 1 - October 3, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk endorses a Democratic candidate for primary elections in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 2 12:00 PM ET to October 9, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.
