PolymarketCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent implied probability
40-64 57.7%-2.0ptLeader of 10 outcomesVig-adjusted: raw venue quotes summed above 100% and were normalized.
40-64 57.7%-2.0ptMarket quality
83 / 100
High quality24h Volume
$32.7K
Liquidity
$106.3K
High liquiditySpread
0.1 pt
Tight spreadComments
0
Market data
Updated 12 minutes ago
Oct 1, 26, 4:07 PM UTCOct 5, 26, 4:00 PM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Polymarket
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Minimum order (shares):
- 5
- Tick size:
- 1 percentage points
- Fees:
- Yes
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets October 1 - October 3, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 3 12:00 PM ET to October 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.