PolymarketClosedCheck availabilityNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedThis market resolved: 1000+
Resolved: Oct 23, 2026, 9:10 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 23, 2026, 1:43 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
740-7590%
680-6990%
620-6390%
660-6790%
700-7190%
1000+Won
Before close: 100% ·
100-119Lost
120-139Lost
140-159Lost
160-179Lost
180-199Lost
20-39Lost
200-219Lost
220-239Lost
240-259Lost
260-279Lost
280-299Lost
300-319Lost
320-339Lost
340-359Lost
360-379Lost
380-399Lost
40-59Lost
400-419Lost
420-439Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets October 24 - October 26, 2026?
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PolymarketRules
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X during the month of October 2026.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.