KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 60 99%+7.0ptLeader of 13 outcomes
Market quality
67 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$11.3K
Liquidity
$8.5K
Medium liquiditySpread
1.0 pt
Tight spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 1, 26, 8:00 PM UTCOct 6, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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KalshiWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 8,600 million dollars in September 2026?
ForecastExWill US retail sales for sporting goods, hobby, musical instrument, and book stores exceed 7,200 million dollars in September 2026?
ForecastExRules
If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:Carbon Arc
- For purposes of this market, determination will resolve on the first value reported by Carbon Arc.
- Corrections or revisions made after the market has been settled will not affect the outcome.
- The index measures year-over-year, where 100 means Sporting Goods Ad Spend was equal to the same month last year.
- Values above 100 indicate growth and values below 100 indicate decline: for example, 103 = 3% growth, 97 = 3% decline from year prior.
- Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with Carbon Arc.
Open markets
Business & Corporate
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+10.5pt40%
- 220-239+11.0pt36%
- 180-199-4.0pt10%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $364.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 200-219+2.0pt22.9%
- 180-199+1.0pt20.2%
- 220-239+0.5pt18.4%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $50M+1.6pt85%
- $100M82%
- $200M+4.5pt79%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $39.3K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt99%
- Apple-0.5pt1%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will General Mills say during their next earnings call?
- Humanization+43.0pt99%
- Blue Buffalo+14.0pt99%
- Nielsen+38.0pt99%
+15 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Sporting Goods Ad Spend in September?
- Kalshi prices Above 60 at 99% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Sporting Goods Ad Spend in September resolve?
- Sporting Goods Ad Spend in September is scheduled to resolve on October 6, 2026.
- How is Sporting Goods Ad Spend in September settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If the Carbon Arc Sporting Goods Ad Spend (September 2026) for September 2026 is the named outcome, then the market resolves to Yes.