KalshiCheck availabilityKYC requiredVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent implied probability
Above 1.8% 53%-5.0ptLeader of 6 outcomes
Market quality
65 / 100
Medium quality24h Volume
$14.7K
Liquidity
$16.3K
Medium liquiditySpread
3.0 pt
Moderate spreadMarket data
Updated 9 minutes ago
Sep 22, 26, 12:00 AM UTCSep 28, 26, 3:59 AM UTC
Trends
Venue terms
Source: Kalshi
Informational venue terms only; CoinRithm paper trading uses its own rules.
- Early close:
- Yes
- Settlement timer:
- 30m (informational)
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Elon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
PolymarketPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
PolymarketWill the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
KalshiWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
PolymarketShould we hire you? [Job-finding market]
Manifold MarketsRules
If Xiaomi scores above 1.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Settles via:OpenRouter - AI Market Share
- This event will resolve based on 10:00AM ET Monday updated market share values reported by OpenRouter, rounded to one decimal place, for the week of Sep 21, 2026.
- If the named model author’s market share is not separately identified in the source chart, including if it is included in “Others,” all markets in the event will resolve to No. Kalshi is not affiliated, associated, authorized, endorsed by, or in any way officially connected with the governing benchmark.
- All trademarks, logos, and brand names are the property of their respective owners.
- If Xiaomi scores above 1.9% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Open markets
Business & CorporatePOLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 18 - September 25, 2026?
- 200-219+10.5pt40%
- 220-239+11.0pt36%
- 180-199-4.0pt10%
+23 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $1.2M
- 24h Vol
- $364.4K
POLYMARKETElon Musk # tweets September 22 - September 29, 2026?
- 200-219+2.0pt22.9%
- 180-199+1.0pt20.2%
- 220-239+0.5pt18.4%
+23 more outcomes
POLYMARKETPredict.fun FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $50M+1.6pt85%
- $100M82%
- $200M+4.5pt79%
+8 more outcomes
POLYMARKETWill Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
+13 more outcomes
- Total Vol
- $5.1M
- 24h Vol
- $39.3K
POLYMARKETLargest Company end of September?
- NVIDIA+0.3pt99%
- Apple-0.5pt1%
- Alphabet0%
+6 more outcomes
KALSHIWhat will General Mills say during their next earnings call?
- Humanization+43.0pt99%
- Blue Buffalo+14.0pt99%
- Nielsen+38.0pt99%
+15 more outcomes
- Elon Musk # of tweets in September 2026?
- What will Cracker Barrel say during their next earnings call?
- Largest Company end of December 2026?
- Tencent market share this week
- Will the California billionaire wealth tax pass?
- What will McDonald's CEO say during their Investor Day?
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- What will Costco say during their next earnings call?
- What will Carnival Cruise say during their next earnings call?
- Sporting Goods Ad Spend in September
Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Xiaomi market share this week?
- Kalshi prices Above 1.8% at 53% as of September 23, 2026.
- When does Xiaomi market share this week resolve?
- Xiaomi market share this week is scheduled to resolve on September 28, 2026.
- How is Xiaomi market share this week settled?
- Kalshi settles this market as follows: If Xiaomi scores above 1.8% on OpenRouter text market share by model author week of Sep 21, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.