Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedData quality warningSource data degraded
Data as of Oct 26, 2026, 9:52 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Current community forecastNo 53.4%
Forecasters
21
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 3 hours ago
StaleMay 29, 23, 8:53 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Policy criteria for YES resolution:
- Is a formal legislation
- Is nationwide (not a regional trial)
- Nation is full EU member at time of policy implementation
- Is a "full UBI" (covers all basic living expenses of the average person)
- Is stable (not a one-off payment; planned for at least 5+ years into the future)