Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040??

Manifold Markets prices No at 69.8% as of October 28, 2026.

When does Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040? resolve?

Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2039.

How is Will the US implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Policy criteria for YES resolution:

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

AI agents: call pm_data_event on the CoinRithm MCP server:

KALSHI

Initial jobless claims for the week ending October 24, 2026

• At least 180,00097.5%
• At least 185,00092%
• At least 175,00098.5%

+8 more outcomes

Total Vol

$78.1K

24h Vol

$75.4K

KALSHI

Poland rate decision in November

• Maintain current rate57%
• Hike 1-25bps25.5%
• Cut more than 25bps+3.0pt1.5%

KALSHI

10Y US Treasury yield on Oct 28, 2026?

• 4.88% or above98.5%
• 4.86% or above99%
• 4.9% or above98.5%

POLYMARKET

Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?

• No+1.0pt77.2%
• Yes-1.0pt22.8%

Total Vol

$4.3M

24h Vol

$18.7K

KALSHI

30-year mortgage rate this week

• Above 7.22%86.5%
• Above 7.23%-21.0pt72%
• Above 7.24%-17.0pt44%

KALSHI

PPI YoY in October

• Above 7.1%+88.0pt50%
• Above 6.1%+6.0pt49%
• Above 6.0%50%

• US Initial Jobless Claims (Oct 29, 2026)
• Will GameStop acquire eBay in 2026?
• How high will DXY get in 2026?
• How high will US gas prices get in 2026?
• Bank of Canada decision in Dec 2026?
• How high will the S&P get this year?
• Will the S&P finish positive this year?
• How low will gas prices in California get this year?
• China strategic oil inventories in Q3 2026
• What will the median home value in the SF Metro area be on December 31?
• US new home · Sales in October