Will any country implement an UBI (universal basic income) before 2040?
One-OffSociety & CulturePolitics13yManifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastYes 60.9%
Forecasters
50
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 2 hours ago
StaleMay 29, 23, 8:53 AM UTCDec 31, 39, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Policy criteria for YES resolution:
- Is a formal legislation
- Is nationwide (not a regional trial)
- Is a "full UBI" (covers all basic living expenses of the average person)
- Is stable (not a one-off payment; planned for at least 5+ years into the future)
- Occurs before Jan 1, 2040 EST
