Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end??

Manifold Markets prices No at 64.5% as of October 25, 2026.

When does Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end? resolve?

Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2041.

How is Will any American citizen be extradited to the UK or elsewhere for free speech by 2040 end? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: "England Police say they will extradite and imprison Americans over social media posts": https://x.com/Bubblebathgirl/status/1821935308578976249 (the guy in the video doesn't say this explicitly but is saying weird shit nonetheless)

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Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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KALSHI

When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?

• Before Apr 1, 2027+2.0pt92.5%
• Before Mar 1, 202791.5%
• Before Feb 1, 202788.5%

+9 more outcomes

Total Vol

$3.6M

24h Vol

$83.4K

KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Claude+2.7pt52.3%
• Gemini-1.8pt35.8%
• ChatGPT-1.0pt

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces bankruptcy by which date?

• 2029+1.0pt20%
• 2028+1.0pt16%
• 2027+1.0pt8%

KALSHI

OpenRouter AI token usage in October

• Above 600T tokens50%
• Above 675T tokens+16.0pt99.5%
• Above 650T tokens+33.0pt99.5%

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+2.0pt30.4%
• $1.5–$1.75T+0.8pt18.6%
• $2.0–$2.25T-1.9pt17.6%

+7 more outcomes

POLYMARKET

OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?

• 2027-4.0pt56%
• 2026-1.5pt14%

+1 more outcomes

Total Vol

$1M

24h Vol

$46.5K

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