Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 89.2%
Forecasters
99
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 49 minutes ago
LaggingJan 27, 26, 11:23 AM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anthropic's first image generation capability be based on an in-house image model?
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KalshiRules
Resolves YES if Anthropic releases an image generation model built in-house either as a standalone model or as a native capability added to existing Claude models (e.g., image output from Sonnet/Opus).
- The model must be developed by Anthropic, not licensed or fine-tuned from a third party.
- Resolves NO if by Dec 31, 2026 Anthropic only offers image generation through third-party integrations or has not released any image generation capability at all.
- @/Soli/will-anthropic-natively-integrate-i
