This market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 11, 2026, 10:46 PM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 12, 2026, 12:02 PM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released on?
PolymarketNext Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
LimitlessWhat will Claude Fable's output token price hit in 2026?
PolymarketWill any model at least as good as Claude Fable 5 and 10x cheaper be released by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill the next Claude Fable be able to autonomously make a watchable movie?
Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if Anthropic officially releases a new Claude Fable model (newer than Fable 5.1) before October 12, 2026.
- The model must be available to general users through an official channel (Claude apps, API, or cloud partners).
- Releases limited to selected partners or testers do not count.
- Any version number counts (5.2, 5.5, 6, etc.).
- Rumors, leaks, and hidden-routing reports do not count.
