Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 50.7%
Forecasters
7
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleAug 8, 26, 8:17 AM UTCJan 1, 35, 12:00 AM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Andrew Tate's party win a seat in the next UK election?
KalshiAndrew Tate released from custody by which date?
PolymarketWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of human (sex) trafficking in Romania?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of a crime before Alec Baldwin? (50% if neither before end of 2030)
Manifold Marketswill Andrew Tate take a Plea deal during his Romania trial?
Manifold MarketsWill Andrew Tate be found guilty of rape or human trafficking in the UK?
Manifold MarketsRules
Andrew Tate is currently facing extradition to the United Kingdom over various sex crime charges.
- This market will resolve YES if Tate is given a custodial sentence of 24 months or greater by a British court.
- It will resolve NO if he completes his legal proceedings in Britain and is not given such a sentence, or if by January 1st 2035 he has still not faced a British court.
- I cannot bet on this market.