Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataFairly calibratedCurrent community forecastBefore 2029 91.8%Leader of 4 outcomes
Forecasters
23
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingMar 6, 25, 4:28 PM UTCDec 31, 28, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
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KalshiRules
Will AI outperform the best human on the RE-bench benchmark?
- https://arxiv.org/abs/2411.15114
- [image]Resolution criteria
- This resolution will use AI Digest as its source.
- Score must be > 1.27
- Which AI systems count?