Current community forecast
Yes 81.8%
Forecasters
1
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 1 hour ago
LaggingSep 16, 26, 5:59 AM UTCDec 31, 99, 11:00 AM UTC
Trends
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if, at any point before December 31, 2099, a reputable global statistical, polling, or research organization (such as the International Telecommunication Union (ITU), Pew Research Center, Gallup, or GSMA) publishes a report indicating that:
- Daily Usage: At least 70% of the global population (or 85% of the population in major developed markets like the US or EU) uses conversational AI chatbots or assistants on a daily basis.
- Ubiquitous Integration: Generative conversational AI assistants are natively integrated into the standard global mobile operating systems (such as iOS, Android, or their direct successors) and are utilized daily by at least 80% of active internet users globally.
- If no such threshold has been verified and officially reported by December 31, 2099, the market will resolve to NO.
- Key Clarifications: