Will a well-known public figure claim to have had a verified extraterrestrial encounter by the end of 2026?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a well-known public figure claim to have had a verified extraterrestrial encounter by the end of 2026??

Manifold Markets prices No at 66% as of October 21, 2026.

When does Will a well-known public figure claim to have had a verified extraterrestrial encounter by the end of 2026? resolve?

Will a well-known public figure claim to have had a verified extraterrestrial encounter by the end of 2026? is scheduled to resolve on January 1, 2027.

How is Will a well-known public figure claim to have had a verified extraterrestrial encounter by the end of 2026? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Description:

Use this market in code or an AI agent

Free JSON for this market, no API key needed:

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KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 2029+2.0pt21.5%
• Before Jan 1, 202813.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-0.2pt4.1%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$36.8M

24h Vol

$146K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31+0.3pt4%
• October 31-0.1pt1%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$74.5M

24h Vol

$90.7K

POLYMARKET

Where will 2026 rank among the hottest years on record?

• 1+2.5pt86.6%
• 2-4.0pt13.4%
• 30%

+3 more outcomes

KALSHI

How many major Atlantic hurricanes will there be in 2026?

• Above 1-6.0pt13.5%
• Above 2-1.0pt7.5%
• Above 3-2.0pt

KALSHI

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

• Before 203583.2%
• Before 2030+3.9pt58%
• Before 2029-8.5pt17.8%

POLYMARKET

What will the biggest earthquake be on October 21, 2026?

• Under 5.3+56.5pt65.5%
• 5.3 to 5.4-4.0pt10.9%
• 5.5 to 5.6-8.0pt8.2%

+3 more outcomes

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• Which countries will have an Ebola case in 2026?
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