Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027?

Frequently asked questions

What are the current odds for Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027??

Manifold Markets prices No at 98% as of October 30, 2026.

When does Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? resolve?

Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? is scheduled to resolve on January 2, 2027.

How is Will a proof of Fermat's Last Theorem simple enough for Fermat to have possessed be found by 2027? settled?

Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: Resolves NO on January 1, 2027 if no such proof has yet been found.

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KALSHI

Will the U.S. confirm that aliens exist?

• Before Jan 20, 202923.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2028+1.0pt15.5%
• Before Jan 1, 2027-0.4pt4.5%

+4 more outcomes

Total Vol

$37.8M

24h Vol

$127.5K

POLYMARKET

Will the US confirm that aliens exist by which date?

• December 31-0.6pt3%
• October 31-0.1pt0%

+5 more outcomes

Total Vol

$75.8M

24h Vol

$126.9K

KALSHI

When will the next Millennium Prize be awarded?

• Before 203583%
• Before 203057.9%
• Before 2029-4.9pt19.5%

KALSHI

Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

• Yes-0.1pt73.9%
• No26%

Total Vol

$449.9K

24h Vol

$3.3K

POLYMARKET

Marathon Fusion's high-rate gold alchemy confirmed by which date?

• June 30-22.0pt21%
• December 31-1.0pt5%

Total Vol

$37K

24h Vol

$2.8K

POLYMARKET

Lowest Great Salt Lake elevation in 2026?

• 4,189.3 or 4,189.4+2.0pt87%
• 4,189.5 or 4,189.6+3.5pt8%
• Below 4,189.3-5.0pt5%

+1 more outcomes

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