Current community forecast
No 57.2%
Forecasters
3
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 12 hours ago
StaleMay 1, 23, 7:43 AM UTCDec 31, 34, 4:01 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Which is first: Crewed Starships to Mars, or California high speed rail?
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PolymarketRules
'Approved' here means that a bill was passed in the UK Parliament, similar to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017
- NPR was planned, but cancelled before approval.
- The Northern Powerhouse Rail (NPR) was a proposed high-speed rail project that aimed to improve connectivity and create economic growth in the north of England.
- However, in 2021, the UK government announced the cancellation of the NPR project, citing concerns over its estimated cost of up to £100bn.
- The connection could (and likely would) run through Manchester.
- 'High-speed' is here arbitrarily defined as trains travelling over 250km/h (to capture the difference between current fast rail in the UK and planned/operational high-speed rail, ie HS1 and HS2 phase 1.
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for Will a plan to connect Liverpool to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035??
- Manifold Markets prices No at 57% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does Will a plan to connect Liverpool to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035? resolve?
- Will a plan to connect Liverpool to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035? is scheduled to resolve on December 31, 2034.
- How is Will a plan to connect Liverpool to London via high-speed rail be approved before 2035? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: 'Approved' here means that a bill was passed in the UK Parliament, similar to the High Speed Rail (London - West Midlands) Act 2017