Manifold MarketsNo KYCVerified resolution dataWell calibratedCurrent community forecastNo 98.4%
Forecasters
28
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 15 hours ago
StaleJul 27, 23, 6:03 PM UTCJan 1, 27, 4:59 AM UTC
Trends
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Manifold MarketsRules
Resolves YES if a Nuclear Thermal Rocket (a rocket propelled using heat from a nuclear reaction) reaches space (defined as the Karman line, 100km altitude) before 2027.
- Otherwise NO.
- NASA, DARPA to launch nuclear rocket to orbit by early 2026
- https://www.nasa.gov/mission_pages/tdm/nuclear-thermal-propulsion/index.html
- [link preview]It is necessary for the rocket to have a propulsion system based on nuclear power.
- It is not necessary that the nuclear propulsion system works.
