Current community forecast
Before 2036 64.6%Leader of 7 outcomes
Forecasters
34
Question type
multiple choice
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
7d Change
0.0 pts
Market data
Updated 13 hours ago
StaleFeb 26, 24, 12:55 PM UTCFeb 1, 32, 10:59 PM UTC
Trends
0%
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will a nuclear propelled rocket be tested in space before 2027?
Manifold MarketsWho will launch the first crewed space station with functioning artificial gravity (via rotation)?
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PolymarketAI data center in space by which date?
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PolymarketRules
When we are thinking of space travel, the first thing that comes to mind is weightlessness.
- Despite how cool it looks, it constitutes one of the big challenges for spaceflight.
- Not only is it harmful for human health, but it also complicates a lot of basic actions like eating or using the toilet.
- A viable solution to this has been known for a long time: rotate a spacecraft or its part to create centrifugal force that emulates gravity.
- So far this has only been tested with smaller centrifuges that couldn't fit a whole human.
- The question will resolve positively as soon as a human-scale centrifuge is tested in space for the first time.
Open markets
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+2 more outcomes
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Frequently asked questions
- What are the current odds for When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space??
- Manifold Markets prices Before 2036 at 65% as of September 8, 2026.
- When does When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space? resolve?
- When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space? is scheduled to resolve on February 1, 2032.
- How is When will human-scale centrifugal artificial gravity be first tested in space? settled?
- Manifold Markets settles this market as follows: When we are thinking of space travel, the first thing that comes to mind is weightlessness.