This market resolved: No (99%)
Resolved: Oct 1, 2026, 7:12 AM
Provider-verified resolution
CoinRithm has provider-backed winner and settlement-time evidence for this market.
Data quality warningStale data
Data as of Oct 1, 2026, 5:45 AM UTC · policy pm-quality-4
Probability Timeline
Yes1%
No99%
Won
Lost
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Resolution criteria
- This market resolves to YES if Anthropic officially releases a new model in the Claude Haiku family (such as "Claude Haiku 5.5" or any other newly designated "Haiku" model) on or before September 30, 2026, at 11:59 PM UTC.
- Otherwise, this market resolves to NO.
- For the purposes of this market, "released" means the model is officially launched and made accessible to the public or developers (including in open beta) via at least one of the following channels:
- The Anthropic API / Claude Console (https://console.anthropic.com/)
- The consumer chat interface (https://claude.ai/)
