Current community forecast
No 72.3%
Forecasters
18
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 11 hours ago
StaleAug 17, 26, 5:54 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
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Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
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PolymarketRules
Will resolve yes any Google Deepmind model is ranked in the top 3 on the Epoch Capabilities Index.
- This will be assessed on the day that Deepmind's final model release of 2026 is added to the benchmark, including if that date is in 2027.
- Resolves no otherwise.
- A model is considered released if it is available via the API, the Gemini app, the Gemini website or any other publicly available means.
- I may trade on this market.