Current community forecast
No 97.4%
Forecasters
29
Question type
binary
Methodology
Play-money forecasting platform
Source type
Forecast
Market data
Updated 25 minutes ago
Jun 25, 25, 4:26 PM UTCDec 31, 26, 11:59 PM UTC
Trends
Related Markets
Related questions for context, not a comparison of equivalent contracts.
Will Anthropic announce a claimed solution to Navier–Stokes before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich of Anthropic and OpenAI will get more credit for the Navier-Stokes solution, in my judgement?
Manifold MarketsWill AI produce a proof of finite-time blow-up for the unforced Navier–Stokes equations before 2027?
Manifold MarketsOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketOpenAI retracts Navier-Stokes solution in 2026?
PolymarketWill Anthropic announce a solution to the Navier-Stokes Millennium problem before IPO?
Manifold MarketsRules
https://english.elpais.com/science-tech/2025-06-24/spanish-mathematician-javier-gomez-serrano-and-google-deepmind-team-up-to-solve-the-navier-stokes-million-dollar-problem.html
- According to the article, a solution is "imminent".
- https://www.zeit.de/digital/internet/2025-01/demis-hassabis-nobel-prize-artificial-intelligence-deepmind-english
- In January, Demis Hassabis said that they would have a solution in the next year to year and a half.
- https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Navier%E2%80%93Stokes_existence_and_smoothness
- This market resolves YES if by 2027, the team talked about in the first article involving Javier Gómez Serrano and Google DeepMind publish a solution to the Navier-Stokes existence and smoothness problem.
